recommended reading

The Future of Mobile Phones Doesn’t Include Phone Calls

Emilio Morenatti/AP

The idea of using a mobile phone to actually talk to people already seems quaint to many young people. According to data presented in Ericsson’s latest Mobility Report (pdf), a biannual study of how the world uses phones, mobile phones will be used less and less for calls, and more for video.

The report contains some fascinating nuggets, chief among them this: Voice traffic on mobile networks will peak in 2015, then revert back to around 2011 levels by 2019. By the end of this decade, our mobile phones will be devices we use primarily to access the internet. Video, and everything else, will happen on the back of that connection.

Tech companies are already moving to make phone calls via mobile networks obsolete. Apps such as Skype and Viber are built for that single purpose. Google has long pushed Voice as a way to bypass telecom operators. And just yesterday, June 2, Apple announced that it will introduce a function allowing users to route iPhone calls through their desktop computers.

As more people buy mobile phones, the total number of voice minutes used will continue to rise. But then, as more people switch from basic phones to smartphones, the average number of minutes per subscriber per month will start to decline after hitting its peak in 2015.

Unsurprisingly, the decline of basic phones will be accompanied by a rise in mobile data consumption.

So what will people use their fancy new smartphones for, now that they aren’t making many calls? A lot of it will be web browsing and social networking. But the lion’s share of data use will be for video consumption, according to Ericsson’s forecast.

Indeed, by 2019, mobile data consumption for video will outpace all other data use put together.

The future of the mobile phone, if this report is to be believed, is as a portable video-recording and viewing device.

Reprinted with permission from Quartz. The original story can be found here.

Threatwatch Alert

Thousands of cyber attacks occur each day

See the latest threats

JOIN THE DISCUSSION

Close [ x ] More from Nextgov
 
 

Thank you for subscribing to newsletters from Nextgov.com.
We think these reports might interest you:

  • Data-Centric Security vs. Database-Level Security

    Database-level encryption had its origins in the 1990s and early 2000s in response to very basic risks which largely revolved around the theft of servers, backup tapes and other physical-layer assets. As noted in Verizon’s 2014, Data Breach Investigations Report (DBIR)1, threats today are far more advanced and dangerous.

    Download
  • Featured Content from RSA Conference: Dissed by NIST

    Learn more about the latest draft of the U.S. National Institute of Standards and Technology guidance document on authentication and lifecycle management.

    Download
  • PIV- I And Multifactor Authentication: The Best Defense for Federal Government Contractors

    This white paper explores NIST SP 800-171 and why compliance is critical to federal government contractors, especially those that work with the Department of Defense, as well as how leveraging PIV-I credentialing with multifactor authentication can be used as a defense against cyberattacks

    Download
  • Toward A More Innovative Government

    This research study aims to understand how state and local leaders regard their agency’s innovation efforts and what they are doing to overcome the challenges they face in successfully implementing these efforts.

    Download
  • From Volume to Value: UK’s NHS Digital Provides U.S. Healthcare Agencies A Roadmap For Value-Based Payment Models

    The U.S. healthcare industry is rapidly moving away from traditional fee-for-service models and towards value-based purchasing that reimburses physicians for quality of care in place of frequency of care.

    Download
  • GBC Flash Poll: Is Your Agency Safe?

    Federal leaders weigh in on the state of information security

    Download

When you download a report, your information may be shared with the underwriters of that document.